Monday, February 7, 2011

Suicide's Easy, What Happened to the Revolution?*

As talking heads debate the future political power structure of Egypt, one constant remains as it did before the crisis began (hint: it is not the Muslim Brotherhood).  As I have noted in this blog many times, the staple foods commodity markets are experiencing an artificial bubble (yes, I am disagreeing with Ben Bernanke) that will have serious consequences.

The most stark examples of this are the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt.  But if this is an economic phenomenon, we need to ask some important questions.  First, what other countries are experiencing problems due to rapidly rising food prices?  Second, where are they?  Third, in the context of their broader economy, does it matter?  Fourth, what are the long-term implications?

In the series of maps and tables I present over the next several days, I will try to answer all of these questions.  Instead of putting myself in the position of arguing an obvious point with a trained economist who is probably a genius, I will present straightforward data from the UN Food & Agriculture Organization (FAO) which both shows how Tunisia and Egypt arrived at this place, and how several other countries in the region are likely to suffer the same fate.

First up, the most recent data (2008) for wheat imports.  Look who's 3rd.

RankAreaQuantity (tonnes)FlagValue (1000 $)FlagUnit value ($/tonne)
1Japan57807103291570569
2Algeria6913570R3055210R442
3Egypt8327790R2461720R296
4Italy54430402277540418
5Indonesia44971901975480439
6Brazil60327001873590311
7Iran (Islamic Republic of)5197370R1801340R347
8Morocco40835801609100394
9Turkey37080001483190400
10Spain46559801430390307
11Netherlands43045701389950323
12Republic of Korea26823101274360475
13Mexico32170301246900388
14Iraq2963320R1242860R419
15Belgium31145401151470370
16United States of America25165001080410429
17Yemen2126630956364450
18Philippines2251970R936905R416
19Germany2582770910089352
20Tunisia1762440811114460
FAO Stat Wheat Imports 2008

*Black Rebel Motorcycle Club
Song: Berlin
Album: Baby 81

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